Despite being largely responsible for the worsening climate crisis in East Africa, rich nations paidEthiopia, Kenya, Somalia and South Sudan just $2.4 billion in climate-related developmentfinance in 2021, in stark contrast to the $53.3 billion East Africa says it needs annually to meet its 2030 climate goals.
Oxfam’s “Unfair Share” Report published today, shows that the biggest polluting nations have fallen shortof meeting both the climate and the humanitarian funds East African countries need to recover fromtheir climate-fuelled hunger crisis. It highlights the impact of climate change on the future of the region.
Oxfam in Africa Director, Fati N’Zi-Hassane said: “Even by their own generous accounts, pollutingnations have delivered only pittance to help East Africa scale up their mitigation and adaptation efforts.Nearly half the funds (45%) they did give were loans, plunging the region further into more debt.”
A prolonged drought and erratic rainfalls have killed nearly 13 million animals, and decimated hundreds ofthousands of hectares of crops, leaving millions of people without income or food. These four East African countries have incurred up to an estimated $30 billion of losses from 2021 to the end of 2023. Oxfamcalculates that these countries also lost approximately $7.4 billion worth of livestock.
As a result, over 31 million people across the four countries are suffering severe hunger because ofa two-year drought and years of flooding, compounded by displacement and conflict. Despite the soaring humanitarian need, rich nations have only met about one third of the UN appeal for East Africathis year.
“At the heart of East Africa’s hunger crisis is an abhorrent climate injustice. Rich polluting nationscontinue to rig the system by disregarding the billions owed to East Africa, while millions of peopleare left to starve from repeated climate shocks,” said N’Zi-Hassane.
Industrialised economies have significantly contributed to the climate crisis, which now disproportionally affects regions like East Africa. The G7 countries and Russia alone have beenresponsible for 85 percent of global emissions since 1850. This is 850 times the emissions ofKenya, Ethiopia, Somalia and South Sudan combined.
“Global financial institutions are also complicit in this climate-fuelled hunger crisis, as they dragdeveloping countries into a spiral of debt, preventing them from fully recovering from consecutive shocks.”
Extreme weather, now more severe and frequent, is the primary driver of hunger in Ethiopia, Kenya,Somalia and in part in South Sudan, where climate change has made the drought 100 times more likely.
“These pummelling shocks have depleted people’s reserves, leaving those already vulnerable withnothing to fend for themselves. Since the last drought in 2017, the number of
people who need urgent aid across the four countries has more than doubled – from 20.7 million to43.5 million,” said N’Zi-Hassane.
The climate crisis has taken its toll especially on women and girls. Women in Somalia told Oxfamthey now have to walk more than four hours every day to fetch water, often in treacherous journeys – a significantly increased distance compared to previous droughts. Too
often, when food is scarce, mothers eat last and least; and girls are the first to be dropped out
of school or married off at a young age so there is one less mouth to feed.
Nimo Suleiman, a displaced mother of two from Somaliland, said “I have witnessed previous droughts but I have never seen anything like this before. The closest water point for us is five kilometers away, theroad to the water point is not safe and very hot, but our family’s survival depends on us making thatjourney.”
“At the first African Climate Summit, Oxfam urges African leaders to speak up and hold rich pollutingnations to account for this climate crisis. Rich nations must immediately inject funds to meet the $8.74billion UN humanitarian needs for East Africa in order to save lives now,” N’Zi-Hassane said.
“It is equally crucial for the biggest polluters to pay their fair share of the money East Africa needs tostrengthen its efforts to help its most vulnerable citizens prepare for the next climatic shock. These funds must be sustainable, in the form of grants rather than loans.”
“Leading up to COP28, African voices must be loud in demanding rich polluting nations to drasticallycut their emissions, and to compensate East Africa for all their climate loss and damage so that theregion can recover from these worsening climate shocks.”
Notes to the Editors
- Read Oxfam’s “Unfair Share” report.
- Oxfam is holding a roundtable at the African Climate Summit on 5 Sept .
- The $2.4 billion figure is based on the OECD records of “Climate-related development finance” statisticsreported figures in 2021 for Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia and South Sudan, which capture both bilateral and multilateral climate-related external development finance flows. For more detail on theOECD methodology please see the OECD Methodology note.
- Out of the total $2.4 billion funds provided, only $1.33 billion were in the form of grants (54.5%) while $1.09 billionwere in the form of loans (45%). Source: OECD
- The figure $53.3 billion is the four countries identified annual needed funds for the period 2021 to2030, in their “National Determined Contributions” (NDCs) to enable them to implement their climategoals under the Paris Agreement. It includes: $62 billion for Kenya, $316 billion for Ethiopia, $55.5billion for Somalia and $100 billion for South Sudan.
- According to the UN Economic Commission for Africa, the East Africa region’s average annual loss fromclimate change until 2030 is 2-4% of its annual GDP. For Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia and South Sudan,the total combined GDP in 2022 is $260 Billion.
- Oxfam calculated livestock loss for Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia based on 2021 and 2023 estimates of thetotal governmentnt reported loss of 12.95 million heads of livestock – including 6.85 million livestock inEthiopia, 2.6 million livestock in Kenya and 3.5 million livestock in Somalia. Ethiopia and Somalia have notprovided an estimate of the value of the lost livestock. The approximate cost of per animal head in theregion is $ 576.9, totalling $7.2 Billion for all 12.95 million livestock lost.
- Food insecurity figures are based on IPC classification of the number of people in crisis or worse levels of foodinsecurity (IPC3+) for Ethiopia (11.8 million), Kenya (5.4 million), Somalia (6.5 million) and South Sudan (7.7 million).Humanitarian need figures is based on the 2023 UN Humanitarian Response Plans for Ethiopia, Somalia andSouth Sudan and Kenya.
- Humanitarian need
